mgimopravoПраво и управление. XXI векJournal of Law and Administration2073-84202587-5736MGIMO10.24833/2073-8420-2022-1-62-3-16mgimopravo-308Research ArticleАКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫХ ОТНОШЕНИЙTHE TOPICAL ISSUES OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONSПропаганда экологической повестки и новый глобальный ковенантPropaganda of Ecological Agenda and New Global Covenanthttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6166-5186КошмаровМ. Ю.KoshmarovM. Yu.

Кошмаров Михаил Юрьевич, кандидат технических наук, директор по разработке инновационных технологий

Mixail Yu. Koshmarov, Candidate of Technical Sciences, Director for development of innovative technologies

mk69@yandex.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8142-9110МанойлоА. В.ManoiloA. V.

Манойло Андрей Викторович, ЦНИИ глобальных и региональных проблем Института научной информации по общественным наукам РАН, профессор кафедры российской политики факультета политологии 

Andrey V. Manoilo, Doctor of Political Sciences, Leading Researcher, Department of Europe and America, Central Research Institute of Global and Regional Problems, Institute of Scientific Information on Social Sciences of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Professor, Department of Russian Politics

cyberhurricane@yandex.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4309-4137ТрубецкойA. Ю.TrubetskoyA. Yu.

Трубецкой Алексей Юрьевич, доктор психологических наук, президент Фонда 

Alexey Yu. Trubetskoy, Doctor of Psychology, President of the Russian Social and Business Promotion Cente

president@rppc.ruФонд РОПЦ (Росполитика),РоссияRussian Social and Business Promotion CenterRussian FederationМГУ имени М.В. ЛомоносоваРоссияLomonosov Moscow State UniversityRussian FederationФонд РОПЦ (Росполитика),РоссияRussian Social and Business Promotion CenteRussian Federation202202042022181316Copyright © Кошмаров М.Ю., Манойло А.В., Трубецкой A.Ю., 20222022Кошмаров М.Ю., Манойло А.В., Трубецкой A.Ю.Koshmarov M.Y., Manoilo A.V., Trubetskoy A.Y.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://mgimopravo.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/308Введение

Введение. В статье подвергнуты подробному анализу научные исследования последнего десятилетия в области экологии, экономики и популяции планеты. Объект исследования – современный общечеловеческий социум. Предмет исследования – новые ценности, идеология и коммуникация, продвигающиеся новой философией устойчивого развития. Цель исследования – анализ и прогноз развития человечества в среднесрочной и долгосрочной перспективе (2050 и 2100).

Материалы и методы

Материалы и методы. Основной аналитический материал научные доклады, находящиеся в открытом доступе: Лондонского королевского общества «People and the Planet» 2012 г., Римского клуба «Come On! Capitalism, Short-Termism, Population and the Destruction of the Planet» 2018 г., Давосского Всемирного экономического Форума «COVID-19. The Great Reset» 2020 г. Тезисы этих работ сопоставлены между собой и другими исследованиями в этой области. Исследование производится историческим, компаративным и аналитическим методами. Аналитические данные экстраполируются для получения вариантов прогнозов в пределах заявленного  горизонта.

Результаты исследования

Результаты исследования. Полученные результаты  исследования  позволяют  делать прогнозы развития цивилизации, процессов глобализации и регионализации, оценивать варианты такого развития.

Обсуждение и заключение

Обсуждение и заключение. Полученные результаты позволяют говорить о продвигаемых глобальными институтами новой философии и вытекающей из этого новых ценностей, идеологии, коммуникации и политики. Исследованы риски и перспективы новой парадигмы для России.

Introduction

Introduction. The article presents a detailed analysis of scientific research of the last decade in the field of ecology, economy and population of the planet. The object of research is modern universal society. The subject of the research is new values, ideology and communication promoted by the new philosophy of sustainable development. The purpose of the study is to analyze and forecast the development of mankind in the medium and long term (2050 and 2100).

Materials and methods

Materials and methods. The main analytical material is scientific reports that are in the public domain: People and the Planet of the Royal Society of London (2012), Come On! Capitalism, Short-Termism, Population and the Destruction of the Planet of the Club of Rome (2018), COVID-19.The Great Reset of the Davos WEF 2020. The theses of these works are compared with each other and other studies in this field. The research is carried out by historical, comparative and analytical methods. Analytical data are extrapolated to obtain forecast options within the stated horizon.

The results of the study

The results of the study. The obtained research results allow us to make forecasts of the development of the civilization, the processes of globalization and regionalization, and to evaluate options for such development.

Conclusion

Conclusion. The results obtained allow us to speak about the new philosophy promoted by global institutions and the resulting new values, ideology, communication and politics. The risks and prospects of the new paradigm for Russia are investigated.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.